chances.ai

What are the odds of… anything?

Chances.ai is a free AI probability calculator. Type any question, decision, or scenario and it returns the odds as a percentage — with the reasoning, the key factors, and a best/worst-case range. Here are example readings to show what that looks like.

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Everyday odds

Quick "what are the chances" questions — weather, plans, habits.

Will it rain this weekend?

38%

Forecast models lean dry, but spring patterns are volatile this time of year.

Will I actually use the gym membership?

31%

Intentions are high; the routine you build in week one decides it.

Will my flight be delayed?

22%

Most flights on this route run on time outside of peak storms.

Is my sourdough starter going to survive?

81%

With daily feeding, survival is the default outcome — neglect is the only real risk.

Big decisions

Should-I questions where you want the odds before you commit.

Should I take the new job offer?

67%

The upside outweighs the risk if the team and growth path check out.

Should I move to a new city this year?

54%

Genuinely a coin-flip until the job and cost-of-living numbers firm up.

Should I adopt the rescue dog?

72%

Your schedule and space fit; the hesitation is normal pre-commitment nerves.

Predictions & projects

Will-it-happen questions about work, money, and plans.

Will my startup hit $10K MRR this year?

44%

Achievable with focus; the timeline is the tight part, not the ceiling.

Will this side project still be alive in 6 months?

49%

Most don't — shipping consistently is the single biggest lever.

Will the team ship the release on time?

58%

Doable, but scope creep in the final week is the usual killer.

Your turn — ask it anything

Type your own question, decision, or scenario and get a probability with the reasoning behind it. Free, no signup.

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FAQ

What kinds of questions can I ask?

Anything you can frame as an outcome — decisions, predictions, relationships, weather, money, projects, or any "what are the chances of X" question.

Are these example readings real?

They're illustrative examples of the format. Ask your own question on chances.site to get a live reading with reasoning and a best/worst-case range.

How accurate are the probabilities?

They're reasoned estimates, not guarantees. Chances.ai is a thinking tool to help you weigh odds — not a substitute for professional medical, legal, or financial advice.

Is Chances.ai free?

Yes. It's free — you bring your own free Google Gemini key, so your questions stay in your browser.